Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 6.541866 7.624284 8.794469 10.149231 11.669982 13.319835 15.240469
2026-01-04 5.113552 6.561266 8.246783 10.337166 12.841941 15.728159 19.285471
2026-01-11 4.194689 5.803289 7.786164 10.375489 13.629548 17.543694 22.563829
2026-01-18 3.406922 5.046234 7.172706 10.077524 13.880002 18.621776 24.906657
2026-01-25 2.831665 4.466336 6.687490 9.846047 14.131002 19.643125 27.156072
2026-02-01 2.366121 3.963942 6.232558 9.581462 14.275562 20.485714 29.163491
2026-02-08 1.995196 3.543003 5.834774 9.338641 14.400590 21.270963 31.089536
2026-02-15 1.674173 3.150981 5.430063 9.035239 14.396330 21.850902 32.730871
2026-02-22 1.491149 2.953567 5.293061 9.103187 14.909071 23.146919 35.381300
2026-03-01 1.326809 2.764007 5.145381 9.134165 15.355330 24.352359 37.933891
2026-03-08 1.192737 2.608444 5.034151 9.206017 15.855170 25.641827 40.637621
2026-03-15 1.064538 2.445447 4.892307 9.212028 16.244311 26.773107 43.139913
2026-03-22 0.989830 2.376316 4.907366 9.479369 17.060642 28.579620 46.707683
2026-03-29 0.909183 2.284381 4.872538 9.657425 17.739480 30.200456 50.051575
2026-04-05 0.818372 2.158219 4.762093 9.693682 18.183544 31.470906 52.902778
2026-04-12 0.699777 1.953950 4.484324 9.411863 18.080803 31.880374 54.451024
2026-04-19 0.603892 1.784020 4.253541 9.192987 18.064206 32.413567 56.192520
2026-04-26 0.517373 1.620611 4.017355 8.942872 17.974028 32.816301 57.731996
2026-05-03 0.444019 1.475708 3.802432 8.713392 17.901403 33.235630 59.299074
2026-05-10 0.375675 1.330012 3.568725 8.426748 17.706210 33.438054 60.516349
2026-05-17 0.341599 1.270212 3.515400 8.490934 18.144075 34.702137 63.470223
2026-05-24 0.308590 1.207177 3.447899 8.520198 18.516105 35.863490 66.284017
2026-05-31 0.281310 1.155710 3.401389 8.588081 18.960405 37.158166 69.346216